The Study of SLEUTH Urban Growth Model Study Area: Muang District, Samutsakorn Province

Abstract

The objective of study of SLEUTH urban growth model study area in Muang District, Samutsakorn Province is to study the change and trend of urban growth that can be use as the data for government to develop and manage the area. This study uses landuse data of years 2002, 2007 and 2012 from Land Development Department to predict the urban growth in year 2016 by using SLEUTH model and validate the accuracy of result by compare to existing satellite image of year 2016 from Landsat 7 ETM using the Error Matrix. The result of this study found that the SLEUTH model can predict the landuse change at the accuracy of 80.01 percent, because of the equation and factors of model give first priority to transportation routes, slope and urban area, that match with urban growth pattern of the study area. The result of the predicted landuses that match with reality are rice fields, orchards, aquaculture, mangrove forests, lowland areas, urban area, village, and water area. And the result of the predicted landuses that not match with reality are industrial area, building and miscellaneous area.